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冬季积雪对我国夏季降水预测的评估分析
引用本文:孙林海,宋文玲.冬季积雪对我国夏季降水预测的评估分析[J].气象,2001,27(8):24-27.
作者姓名:孙林海  宋文玲
作者单位:国家气候中心,
基金项目:国家“九五”重中之重科技项目 (96 - 90 8- 0 4- 0 4)资助
摘    要:根据高原积雪和高纬积雪与我国夏季降水相关分析的结果,将高原积雪和高纬积雪作为独立因子分别对我国夏季降水预测做了检验,结果表明:高原积雪较高纬积雪效果要好,冬季高原积雪异常偏多时,长江流域夏季易发生洪涝,这也是预测汛期降水的一个重要信号。

关 键 词:高原积雪  高纬积雪  降水预测  评估  中国  夏季  相关分析

Influence of the Winter Snow Cover in Tibetan Plateau and Eurasia on Summer Rainfall in China
Sun Linhai,Song Wenling.Influence of the Winter Snow Cover in Tibetan Plateau and Eurasia on Summer Rainfall in China[J].Meteorological Monthly,2001,27(8):24-27.
Authors:Sun Linhai  Song Wenling
Abstract:According to the relationship between the snow cover in Tibetan Plateau and Eurasia in winter and the summer rainfall in China, the correlation between the summer rainfall in China and the snow cover in Plateau and Eurasia is verified. Results indicate that the prediction of summer rainfall is better by snow cover over the Plateau than that over Eurasia. The flood of the Changjiang River valley in summer usually occurred when anomalous snow cover in Tibetan Plateau is above normal in winter. This is an important indicator for the prediction of rainfall in summer.
Keywords:snow cover in Tibetan Plateau  snow cover in Eurasia  summer rainfall
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